Super League 1 · Matchweek 5
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aris Thessaloniki39%
Draw26%
Iraklis35%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.42
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Iraklis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession44%
34%Territory30%
27%From set plays48%
0.08Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Iraklis
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.