Super League 1 · Matchweek 19
Iraklis
IRA
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis46%
Draw27%
Asteras Tripolis28%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.19
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Iraklis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession51%
30%Territory41%
48%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.09
7.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Iraklis
Asteras Tripolis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.