Super League 1 · Matchweek 19
Iraklis
IRA
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis47%
Draw26%
Asteras Tripolis27%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.17
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession46%
31%Territory33%
23%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.11
8.4%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.