Süper Lig · Matchweek 25
Göztepe
GZT
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Göztepe43%
Draw32%
Kocaelispor25%
Expected goals
1.21 – 0.87
Over 2.5
34%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.4%
- 0–014.0%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–110.6%
- 2–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kocaelispor will have the ball; Göztepe will not mind.
36%Possession54%
36%Territory34%
24%From set plays42%
0.12Chance quality0.09
7.7%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Göztepe, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kocaelispor
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.