Süper Lig · Matchweek 25
Alanyaspor
ALA
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor16%
Draw22%
Fenerbahçe62%
Expected goals
0.98 – 2.04
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–110.6%
- 0–210.2%
- 1–210.0%
- 1–19.7%
- 1–36.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Alanyaspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession54%
30%Territory41%
38%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Alanyaspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.