Süper Lig · Matchweek 25
Rizespor
RIZ
Çorum FK
ORU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rizespor45%
Draw28%
Çorum FK28%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.12
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.5%
- 0–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
37%Territory38%
28%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.10
9.0%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Çorum FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Rizespor
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.