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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 24

Kocaelispor

KOC

Beşiktaş

BEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kocaelispor31%
Draw31%
Beşiktaş37%

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.15

Over 2.5

37%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–113.2%
  • 0–012.8%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Beşiktaş will have the ball; Kocaelispor will not mind.

54%Possession62%
34%Territory45%
42%From set plays5%
0.09Chance quality0.11
7.2%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kocaelispor, 3 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.