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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 24

Kasımpaşa

KAS

Galatasaray

GAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kasımpaşa21%
Draw25%
Galatasaray54%

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.69

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.1%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–29.4%
  • 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Galatasaray will have the ball; Kasımpaşa will not mind.

47%Possession62%
28%Territory43%
26%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 3 for Galatasaray. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.