Süper Lig · Matchweek 24
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Alanyaspor
ALA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Erzurumspor FK44%
Draw29%
Alanyaspor26%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.00
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Alanyaspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession51%
37%Territory30%
8%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Alanyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Erzurumspor FK
Alanyaspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.