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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 24

Çorum FK

ORU

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Çorum FK44%
Draw28%
Gaziantep FK28%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.14

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

54%Possession52%
38%Territory39%
20%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.