Süper Lig · Matchweek 23
Eyüpspor
EYP
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eyüpspor10%
Draw18%
Fenerbahçe72%
Expected goals
0.78 – 2.28
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.3%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–39.0%
- 1–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession54%
37%Territory41%
29%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eyüpspor, 3 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eyüpspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.