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Süper Lig · Matchweek 23

Alanyaspor

ALA

Çorum FK

ORU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Alanyaspor33%
Draw29%
Çorum FK38%

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.30

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Alanyaspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession54%
30%Territory38%
38%From set plays20%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Çorum FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.