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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 23

Beşiktaş

BEI

Amed Sportif

AME

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Beşiktaş44%
Draw25%
Amed Sportif30%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.38

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Beşiktaş will have the ball; Amed Sportif will not mind.

62%Possession53%
45%Territory43%
5%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.15
7.0%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Amed Sportif. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.