Süper Lig · Matchweek 23
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Başakşehir
BAA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gençlerbirliği24%
Draw24%
Başakşehir52%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.83
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–27.9%
- 2–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Başakşehir will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.
39%Possession48%
35%Territory33%
42%From set plays30%
0.15Chance quality0.12
9.4%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Başakşehir. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gençlerbirliği
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.