Süper Lig · Matchweek 23
Konyaspor
KON
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Konyaspor33%
Draw30%
Kasımpaşa37%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.21
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.0%
- 0–011.1%
- 1–011.0%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession47%
35%Territory28%
18%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.08
9.1%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Konyaspor, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.