Süper Lig · Matchweek 22
Çorum FK
ORU
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Çorum FK50%
Draw25%
Samsunspor24%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.14
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Çorum FK will have the ball; Samsunspor will not mind.
54%Possession46%
38%Territory35%
20%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.