Süper Lig · Matchweek 22
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Erzurumspor FK23%
Draw27%
Beşiktaş51%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.58
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.5%
- 1–112.0%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–29.1%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Beşiktaş will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
44%Possession62%
37%Territory45%
8%From set plays5%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Erzurumspor FK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.