Süper Lig · Matchweek 22
Kocaelispor
KOC
Galatasaray
GAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kocaelispor23%
Draw28%
Galatasaray49%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.43
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.1%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–29.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Galatasaray will have the ball; Kocaelispor will not mind.
54%Possession62%
34%Territory43%
42%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.13
7.2%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kocaelispor, 3 for Galatasaray. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kocaelispor
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.