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Süper Lig · Matchweek 22

Kasımpaşa

KAS

Gençlerbirliği

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kasımpaşa52%
Draw27%
Gençlerbirliği21%

Expected goals

1.55 – 0.92

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.6%
  • 1–112.0%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 0–09.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Gençlerbirliği get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession39%
28%Territory35%
26%From set plays42%
0.08Chance quality0.15
5.8%Directness9.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Gençlerbirliği

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.