Süper Lig · Matchweek 22
Başakşehir
BAA
Amed Sportif
AME
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Başakşehir40%
Draw25%
Amed Sportif34%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.51
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.8%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Başakşehir get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession53%
33%Territory43%
30%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.15
6.8%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Başakşehir, 3 for Amed Sportif. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.