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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 22

Rizespor

RIZ

Eyüpspor

EYP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rizespor63%
Draw23%
Eyüpspor14%

Expected goals

1.87 – 0.79

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.7%
  • 2–012.1%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

49%Possession52%
37%Territory37%
28%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.07
9.0%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Eyüpspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Eyüpspor

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.