Süper Lig · Matchweek 21
Konyaspor
KON
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Konyaspor41%
Draw30%
Erzurumspor FK30%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.07
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession44%
35%Territory37%
18%From set plays8%
0.12Chance quality0.12
9.1%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Konyaspor, 3 for Erzurumspor FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.