Süper Lig · Matchweek 21
Samsunspor
SAM
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Samsunspor41%
Draw31%
Kocaelispor29%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.00
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.0%
- 0–110.6%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Samsunspor will have the ball; Kocaelispor will not mind.
58%Possession47%
40%Territory38%
21%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Samsunspor, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.