Süper Lig · Matchweek 21
Beşiktaş
BEI
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş38%
Draw26%
Fenerbahçe36%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.51
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fenerbahçe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
62%Possession54%
45%Territory41%
5%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.