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Süper Lig · Matchweek 21

Eyüpspor

EYP

Çorum FK

ORU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eyüpspor23%
Draw28%
Çorum FK48%

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.44

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.7%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–29.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession54%
37%Territory38%
29%From set plays20%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eyüpspor, 3 for Çorum FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.