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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 21

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Göztepe

GZT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gaziantep FK35%
Draw25%
Göztepe40%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.62

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Göztepe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession39%
36%Territory36%
34%From set plays56%
0.08Chance quality0.12
8.7%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gaziantep FK, 3 for Göztepe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.