Süper Lig · Matchweek 21
Alanyaspor
ALA
Rizespor
RIZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor29%
Draw28%
Rizespor42%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.39
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.7%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession49%
30%Territory37%
38%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness9.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Rizespor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Alanyaspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.