Süper Lig · Matchweek 21
Alanyaspor
ALA
Rizespor
RIZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor39%
Draw28%
Rizespor33%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.24
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Alanyaspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession53%
37%Territory38%
31%From set plays11%
0.14Chance quality0.14
7.9%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Rizespor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.