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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 21

Galatasaray

GAL

Başakşehir

BAA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Galatasaray61%
Draw21%
Başakşehir18%

Expected goals

2.19 – 1.17

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 3–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Galatasaray will have the ball; Başakşehir will not mind.

62%Possession48%
43%Territory33%
22%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.12
7.0%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Galatasaray, 3 for Başakşehir. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.