Süper Lig · Matchweek 21
Galatasaray
GAL
Başakşehir
BAA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Galatasaray72%
Draw16%
Başakşehir12%
Expected goals
2.69 – 1.08
Over 2.5
72%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.1%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–18.1%
- 3–07.4%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Galatasaray get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession56%
45%Territory36%
32%From set plays15%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Galatasaray, 3 for Başakşehir. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Başakşehir
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.