Süper Lig · Matchweek 21
Amed Sportif
AME
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Amed Sportif53%
Draw26%
Kasımpaşa21%
Expected goals
1.64 – 0.98
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession47%
43%Territory28%
12%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Amed Sportif, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.