Süper Lig · Matchweek 21
Amed Sportif
AME
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Amed Sportif48%
Draw27%
Kasımpaşa25%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.08
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession46%
33%Territory28%
37%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Amed Sportif, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.