Süper Lig · Matchweek 20
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fenerbahçe75%
Draw15%
Samsunspor10%
Expected goals
2.65 – 0.92
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–08.6%
- 3–18.1%
- 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fenerbahçe will have the ball; Samsunspor will not mind.
54%Possession46%
41%Territory35%
21%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fenerbahçe, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.