Süper Lig · Matchweek 20
Çorum FK
ORU
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Çorum FK26%
Draw27%
Beşiktaş47%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.57
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.9%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Çorum FK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession62%
38%Territory45%
20%From set plays5%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.