Süper Lig · Matchweek 20
Kocaelispor
KOC
Konyaspor
KON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kocaelispor38%
Draw32%
Konyaspor30%
Expected goals
1.13 – 0.99
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.7%
- 0–013.5%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–111.8%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession46%
38%Territory37%
14%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.3%Directness10.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kocaelispor, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.