Süper Lig · Matchweek 20
Kocaelispor
KOC
Konyaspor
KON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kocaelispor49%
Draw30%
Konyaspor21%
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.79
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
41%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.3%
- 0–013.4%
- 1–112.7%
- 2–09.9%
- 0–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kocaelispor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession49%
34%Territory35%
42%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kocaelispor, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kocaelispor
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.