Süper Lig · Matchweek 20
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Erzurumspor FK38%
Draw29%
Gençlerbirliği33%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.18
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gençlerbirliği will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
38%Possession46%
32%Territory41%
36%From set plays43%
0.08Chance quality0.06
8.2%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.