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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 20

Erzurumspor FK

ERZ

Gençlerbirliği

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Erzurumspor FK38%
Draw30%
Gençlerbirliği32%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.14

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Gençlerbirliği get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession40%
37%Territory36%
8%From set plays39%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.5%Directness8.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.