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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 20

Kasımpaşa

KAS

Başakşehir

BAA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kasımpaşa42%
Draw27%
Başakşehir31%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.25

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Başakşehir will have the ball; Kasımpaşa will not mind.

46%Possession56%
28%Territory36%
22%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 3 for Başakşehir. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.