Süper Lig · Matchweek 20
Alanyaspor
ALA
Eyüpspor
EYP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor51%
Draw27%
Eyüpspor22%
Expected goals
1.54 – 0.94
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–09.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession51%
37%Territory38%
31%From set plays42%
0.14Chance quality0.09
7.9%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Eyüpspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.