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Süper Lig · Matchweek 20

Rizespor

RIZ

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rizespor47%
Draw27%
Gaziantep FK26%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.13

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rizespor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession52%
37%Territory39%
28%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.08
9.0%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.