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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 20

Rizespor

RIZ

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rizespor51%
Draw25%
Gaziantep FK25%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.21

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Gaziantep FK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

53%Possession47%
38%Territory36%
11%From set plays34%
0.14Chance quality0.08
7.7%Directness8.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.