Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Galatasaray
GAL
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Galatasaray80%
Draw13%
Erzurumspor FK7%
Expected goals
2.74 – 0.76
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.7%
- 3–010.3%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Galatasaray will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
60%Possession38%
45%Territory32%
32%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Galatasaray, 3 for Erzurumspor FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.