Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Galatasaray
GAL
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Galatasaray73%
Draw17%
Erzurumspor FK9%
Expected goals
2.32 – 0.74
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.7%
- 1–011.4%
- 3–09.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Galatasaray will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
62%Possession44%
43%Territory37%
22%From set plays8%
0.13Chance quality0.12
7.0%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Galatasaray, 3 for Erzurumspor FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.