Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Amed Sportif
AME
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Amed Sportif48%
Draw28%
Kocaelispor24%
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.95
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.6%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 2–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Amed Sportif get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession47%
33%Territory38%
37%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Amed Sportif, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.