Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Amed Sportif
AME
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Amed Sportif48%
Draw29%
Kocaelispor23%
Expected goals
1.39 – 0.90
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–011.3%
- 2–09.3%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kocaelispor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession54%
43%Territory34%
12%From set plays42%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Amed Sportif, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kocaelispor
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.