Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Konyaspor
KON
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Konyaspor19%
Draw23%
Fenerbahçe58%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.94
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
35%Territory41%
18%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.10
9.1%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Konyaspor, 3 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.