Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Konyaspor
KON
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Konyaspor23%
Draw26%
Fenerbahçe51%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.64
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.7%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession53%
37%Territory35%
20%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.09
10.6%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Konyaspor, 3 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.