Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Çorum FK
ORU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kasımpaşa44%
Draw30%
Çorum FK26%
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.97
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.7%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–19.7%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession54%
28%Territory38%
26%From set plays20%
0.08Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 3 for Çorum FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kasımpaşa
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.