Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Çorum FK
ORU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kasımpaşa44%
Draw27%
Çorum FK29%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.19
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kasımpaşa get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession49%
28%Territory33%
22%From set plays1%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 3 for Çorum FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.