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Süper Lig · Matchweek 19

Gençlerbirliği

GEN

Göztepe

GZT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gençlerbirliği29%
Draw28%
Göztepe44%

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.47

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Gençlerbirliği get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

40%Possession36%
36%Territory36%
39%From set plays24%
0.14Chance quality0.12
8.6%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Göztepe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.