Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Göztepe
GZT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gençlerbirliği29%
Draw26%
Göztepe45%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.60
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession39%
41%Territory36%
43%From set plays56%
0.06Chance quality0.12
9.1%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Göztepe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gençlerbirliği
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.