Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Samsunspor
SAM
Rizespor
RIZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Samsunspor38%
Draw27%
Rizespor35%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.37
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession53%
40%Territory38%
21%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Samsunspor, 3 for Rizespor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.