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Süper Lig · Matchweek 19

Beşiktaş

BEI

Alanyaspor

ALA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Beşiktaş68%
Draw20%
Alanyaspor12%

Expected goals

2.12 – 0.80

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.1%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 3–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Beşiktaş will have the ball; Alanyaspor will not mind.

62%Possession50%
45%Territory30%
5%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.07
7.0%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Alanyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.