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Süper Lig · Matchweek 19

Beşiktaş

BEI

Alanyaspor

ALA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Beşiktaş63%
Draw22%
Alanyaspor15%

Expected goals

2.00 – 0.89

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1011.7%
  • 2011.0%
  • 219.9%
  • 119.9%
  • 306.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Beşiktaş will have the ball; Alanyaspor will not mind.

58%Possession46%
43%Territory37%
22%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Alanyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.