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Süper Lig · Matchweek 19

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Eyüpspor

EYP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gaziantep FK48%
Draw26%
Eyüpspor26%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.13

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 1011.0%
  • 219.5%
  • 208.1%
  • 007.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession51%
36%Territory38%
34%From set plays42%
0.08Chance quality0.09
8.7%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gaziantep FK, 3 for Eyüpspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.