Süper Lig · Matchweek 18
Göztepe
GZT
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Göztepe49%
Draw25%
Samsunspor26%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.28
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Samsunspor will have the ball; Göztepe will not mind.
39%Possession58%
36%Territory40%
56%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.08
7.6%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Göztepe, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.