Süper Lig · Matchweek 18
Göztepe
GZT
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Göztepe64%
Draw21%
Samsunspor15%
Expected goals
2.08 – 0.96
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.5%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Samsunspor will have the ball; Göztepe will not mind.
36%Possession46%
36%Territory35%
24%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Göztepe, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.