Süper Lig · Matchweek 18
Çorum FK
ORU
Galatasaray
GAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Çorum FK18%
Draw22%
Galatasaray60%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.96
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–110.6%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–36.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession62%
38%Territory43%
20%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Galatasaray. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.