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Süper Lig · Matchweek 18

Rizespor

RIZ

Konyaspor

KON

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rizespor46%
Draw27%
Konyaspor27%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.16

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 1010.8%
  • 219.3%
  • 017.8%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession46%
38%Territory37%
11%From set plays20%
0.14Chance quality0.09
7.7%Directness10.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.