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Süper Lig · Matchweek 18

Rizespor

RIZ

Konyaspor

KON

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rizespor49%
Draw26%
Konyaspor25%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.09

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

49%Possession49%
37%Territory35%
28%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.12
9.0%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.