Süper Lig · Matchweek 18
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fenerbahçe71%
Draw19%
Gençlerbirliği11%
Expected goals
2.21 – 0.77
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.5%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.8%
- 1–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gençlerbirliği get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession46%
35%Territory41%
28%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.06
5.7%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fenerbahçe, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.