Süper Lig · Matchweek 18
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fenerbahçe67%
Draw19%
Gençlerbirliği13%
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.94
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–18.7%
- 3–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fenerbahçe will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.
54%Possession40%
41%Territory36%
21%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fenerbahçe, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.