Süper Lig · Matchweek 18
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Amed Sportif
AME
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Erzurumspor FK25%
Draw26%
Amed Sportif49%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.64
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.1%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Amed Sportif will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
38%Possession47%
32%Territory33%
36%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.14
8.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Amed Sportif. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.