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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 18

Erzurumspor FK

ERZ

Amed Sportif

AME

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Erzurumspor FK23%
Draw26%
Amed Sportif50%

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.60

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–111.9%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–28.8%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Amed Sportif will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.

44%Possession53%
37%Territory43%
8%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.15
5.5%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Amed Sportif. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.