Süper Lig · Matchweek 18
Alanyaspor
ALA
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor34%
Draw29%
Gaziantep FK37%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.28
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Alanyaspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession52%
30%Territory39%
38%From set plays8%
0.07Chance quality0.08
5.8%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Alanyaspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Gaziantep FK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.