Süper Lig · Matchweek 17
Çorum FK
ORU
Konyaspor
KON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Çorum FK45%
Draw28%
Konyaspor27%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.09
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.9%
- 0–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession49%
38%Territory35%
20%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.